Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 2, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 2, 2026, 11:55 AM to 12:24 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 2, 2026 at 11:55 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -31.2941. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:24 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-29.05-5.71217.63Oct 2, 11:55 AM ET12:24 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:55 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-29.05-5.71217.63Oct 2, 11:55 AM ET12:24 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:55 AM ET-31.2941
Projected value at 12:24 PM ET20.6659
Actual value at 12:24 PM ET8.85221
Projected change across the window+51.96
Actual change across the window+40.1463
Bars moving the same direction28 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.29×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.29 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 97% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 29 (12:23 PM ET), where they sat 11.4402 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (11:55 AM ET) with a gap of 43.3057. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 14 (12:09 PM ET), a move of +4.46985. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:56 AM8.34581-31.1375-39.4833
612:01 PM0.97666-27.5184-28.495
1212:07 PM7.05641-16.1779-23.2344
1812:13 PM13.7506-1.64338-15.3939
2412:19 PM17.31322.87647-14.4368
2912:24 PM20.66598.85221-11.8137

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.