Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 1, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 1, 2026, 9:02 PM to 9:31 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 1, 2026 at 9:02 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -26.2191. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:31 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-28.19-3.19221.8Oct 1, 9:02 PM ET9:31 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:02 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-28.19-3.19221.8Oct 1, 9:02 PM ET9:31 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:02 PM ET-26.2191
Projected value at 9:31 PM ET-3.48776
Actual value at 9:31 PM ET2.84191
Projected change across the window+22.7314
Actual change across the window+29.061
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.78×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.78 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 27 (9:28 PM ET), where they sat 0.562728 apart, and furthest at bar 9 (9:11 PM ET) with a gap of 30.8368. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 7 (9:09 PM ET), a move of +12.9088. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:03 PM-2.8335-28.3103-25.4768
69:08 PM-6.189530.966176+7.15571
129:14 PM-5.5496919.2625+24.8122
189:20 PM-5.4892911.3537+16.843
249:26 PM-4.69019-6.5625-1.87231
299:31 PM-3.487762.84191+6.32967

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.