Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 1, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 1, 2026, 8:57 PM to 9:26 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 1, 2026 at 8:57 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -9.74191. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:26 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-7.6767.70923.09Oct 1, 8:57 PM ET9:26 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 8:57 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-7.6767.70923.09Oct 1, 8:57 PM ET9:26 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 8:57 PM ET-9.74191
Projected value at 9:26 PM ET-8.0062
Actual value at 9:26 PM ET-8.16471
Projected change across the window+1.73571
Actual change across the window+1.57721
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.10×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.10 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (9:26 PM ET), where they sat 0.158508 apart, and furthest at bar 4 (9:01 PM ET) with a gap of 26.5764. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 2 (8:59 PM ET), a move of +12.9088. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
18:58 PM0.2641680.966176+0.702009
69:03 PM-3.2765422.1801+25.4567
129:09 PM-7.0493111.0125+18.0618
189:15 PM-7.6175-3.625+3.9925
249:21 PM-8.574792.84191+11.4167
299:26 PM-8.0062-8.16471-0.158508

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.