Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 1, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 1, 2026, 8:54 PM to 9:23 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 1, 2026 at 8:54 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 23.1838. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:23 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-6.7278.21323.15Oct 1, 8:54 PM ET9:23 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 8:54 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-6.7278.21323.15Oct 1, 8:54 PM ET9:23 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 8:54 PM ET23.1838
Projected value at 9:23 PM ET-5.65258
Actual value at 9:23 PM ET-8.23676
Projected change across the window-28.8364
Actual change across the window-31.4206
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.92×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.92 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 26 (9:19 PM ET), where they sat 0.414561 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (8:54 PM ET) with a gap of 30.541. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 14 (9:08 PM ET), a move of -5.42574. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
18:55 PM-3.1864825.1596+28.346
69:00 PM3.3728413.9368+10.5639
129:06 PM-1.014239.55074+10.565
189:12 PM-2.76761-3.38824-0.620623
249:18 PM-5.69893-3.90515+1.79378
299:23 PM-5.65258-8.23676-2.58418

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.