Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 1, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 1, 2026, 6:37 PM to 7:06 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 1, 2026 at 6:37 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 99.9037. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:06 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

7.35762.79118.2Oct 1, 6:37 PM ET7:06 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:37 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

7.35762.79118.2Oct 1, 6:37 PM ET7:06 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:37 PM ET99.9037
Projected value at 7:06 PM ET-0.0878351
Actual value at 7:06 PM ET18.7926
Projected change across the window-99.9915
Actual change across the window-81.111
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading18 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.23×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.23 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 18 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (7:06 PM ET), where they sat 18.8805 apart, and furthest at bar 3 (6:40 PM ET) with a gap of 117.505. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 13 (6:50 PM ET), a move of -10.3735. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:38 PM8.72813108.693+99.9645
66:43 PM7.86005119.063+111.203
126:49 PM6.33699101.185+94.8476
186:55 PM3.9599647.0522+43.0922
247:01 PM1.7186228.3853+26.6667
297:06 PM-0.087835118.7926+18.8805

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.