Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 1, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 1, 2026, 6:32 PM to 7:01 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 1, 2026 at 6:32 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 123.523. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:01 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-2.87656.35115.6Oct 1, 6:32 PM ET7:01 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:32 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-2.87656.35115.6Oct 1, 6:32 PM ET7:01 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:32 PM ET123.523
Projected value at 7:01 PM ET4.96883
Actual value at 7:01 PM ET-10.8301
Projected change across the window-118.554
Actual change across the window-134.353
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.88×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.88 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 28 (6:59 PM ET), where they sat 3.06026 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (6:32 PM ET) with a gap of 120.628. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 9 (6:41 PM ET), a move of -10.3735. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:33 PM4.46364122.499+118.035
66:38 PM8.41282112.591+104.178
126:44 PM10.138662.5544+52.4158
186:50 PM9.7330236.2471+26.514
246:56 PM7.0233421.4279+14.4046
297:01 PM4.96883-10.8301-15.799

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.