Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 1, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 1, 2026, 6:21 PM to 6:50 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 1, 2026 at 6:21 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 71.2493. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:50 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-42.510.7964.09Oct 1, 6:21 PM ET6:50 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:21 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-42.510.7964.09Oct 1, 6:21 PM ET6:50 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:21 PM ET71.2493
Projected value at 6:50 PM ET-0.27799
Actual value at 6:50 PM ET-6.46103
Projected change across the window-71.5273
Actual change across the window-77.7103
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.92×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.92 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 18 (6:38 PM ET), where they sat 1.35206 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (6:21 PM ET) with a gap of 67.9969. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 27 (6:48 PM ET), a move of +10.4721. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:22 PM3.5615862.5544+58.9928
66:27 PM2.3002737.9125+35.6122
126:33 PM-0.9369421.8272+22.7641
186:39 PM-2.18848-10.8301-8.64166
246:45 PM-0.714512-49.4338-48.7193
296:50 PM-0.27799-6.46103-6.18304

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.