Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 1, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 1, 2026, 6:20 PM to 6:49 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 1, 2026 at 6:20 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 54.8625. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:49 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-43.472.648.67Oct 1, 6:20 PM ET6:49 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:20 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-43.472.648.67Oct 1, 6:20 PM ET6:49 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:20 PM ET54.8625
Projected value at 6:49 PM ET3.66408
Actual value at 6:49 PM ET5.81985
Projected change across the window-51.1984
Actual change across the window-49.0426
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.04×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.04 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (6:49 PM ET), where they sat 2.15577 apart, and furthest at bar 21 (6:41 PM ET) with a gap of 53.0142. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 25 (6:45 PM ET), a move of +10.4721. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:21 PM3.9624447.0522+43.0898
66:26 PM6.7077333.289+26.5812
126:32 PM4.867418.7926+13.9252
186:38 PM2.86594-28.45-31.3159
246:44 PM3.59686-36.1471-39.7439
296:49 PM3.664085.81985+2.15577

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.