Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 1, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 1, 2026, 3:23 PM to 3:52 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 1, 2026 at 3:23 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 26.586. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:52 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-70.52-23.6723.17Oct 1, 3:23 PM ET3:52 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:23 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-70.52-23.6723.17Oct 1, 3:23 PM ET3:52 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:23 PM ET26.586
Projected value at 3:52 PM ET-4.40626
Actual value at 3:52 PM ET-8.39044
Projected change across the window-30.9923
Actual change across the window-34.9765
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.89×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.89 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 7 (3:29 PM ET), where they sat 1.59595 apart, and furthest at bar 11 (3:34 PM ET) with a gap of 67.9943. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 7 (3:30 PM ET), a move of -17.9654. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:24 PM-8.4993928.4978+36.9972
63:29 PM-10.668-9.07206+1.59595
123:35 PM-8.93576-74.5309-65.5951
183:41 PM-9.65741-54.4103-44.7529
243:47 PM-6.23272-18.8963-12.6636
293:52 PM-4.40626-8.39044-3.98419

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.