Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 1, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 1, 2026, 3:08 PM to 3:37 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 1, 2026 at 3:08 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -58.1801. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:37 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-51.83-4.52242.78Oct 1, 3:08 PM ET3:37 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:08 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-51.83-4.52242.78Oct 1, 3:08 PM ET3:37 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:08 PM ET-58.1801
Projected value at 3:37 PM ET0.377489
Actual value at 3:37 PM ET41.9831
Projected change across the window+58.5576
Actual change across the window+100.163
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.58×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.58 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 15 (3:22 PM ET), where they sat 0.485989 apart, and furthest at bar 25 (3:33 PM ET) with a gap of 50.5008. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 6 (3:14 PM ET), a move of +11.4338. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:09 PM-10.0486-55.3581-45.3095
63:14 PM-8.2152-35.1581-26.9429
123:20 PM-8.44209-19.4765-11.0344
183:26 PM-6.398423.0831+29.4815
243:32 PM-1.9601843.911+45.8712
293:37 PM0.37748941.9831+41.6056

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.