Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 1, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 1, 2026, 12:08 PM to 12:37 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 1, 2026 at 12:08 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -17.7934. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:37 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-14.3811.0536.48Oct 1, 12:08 PM ET12:37 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:08 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-14.3811.0536.48Oct 1, 12:08 PM ET12:37 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:08 PM ET-17.7934
Projected value at 12:37 PM ET9.69026
Actual value at 12:37 PM ET5.77794
Projected change across the window+27.4836
Actual change across the window+23.5713
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.17×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.17 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 29 (12:36 PM ET), where they sat 0.0212583 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (12:08 PM ET) with a gap of 49.7231. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 28 (12:36 PM ET), a move of -6.21103. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:09 PM29.5324-17.2551-46.7875
612:14 PM33.91585.33235-28.5835
1212:20 PM31.210425.9404-5.26993
1812:26 PM24.137338.2794+14.1421
2412:32 PM15.398924.9647+9.56582
2912:37 PM9.690265.77794-3.91232

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.