Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 1, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 1, 2026, 10:45 AM to 11:14 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 1, 2026 at 10:45 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 36.9272. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:14 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

3.81220.937.98Oct 1, 10:45 AM ET11:14 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:45 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

3.81220.937.98Oct 1, 10:45 AM ET11:14 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:45 AM ET36.9272
Projected value at 11:14 AM ET5.65799
Actual value at 11:14 AM ET1.51691
Projected change across the window-31.2692
Actual change across the window-35.4103
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.88×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.88 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 8 (10:52 AM ET), where they sat 1.20031 apart, and furthest at bar 22 (11:07 AM ET) with a gap of 18.2326. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 25 (11:10 AM ET), a move of -6.57574. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:46 AM36.677931.0985-5.57934
610:51 AM31.735127.5831-4.15199
1210:57 AM23.317138.3478+15.0307
1811:03 AM14.826528.5324+13.7058
2411:09 AM7.6779720.2118+12.5338
2911:14 AM5.657991.51691-4.14108

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.