Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 1, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 1, 2026, 10:13 AM to 10:42 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 1, 2026 at 10:13 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -7.58456. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:42 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-53.99-32.01-10.02Oct 1, 10:13 AM ET10:42 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:13 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-53.99-32.01-10.02Oct 1, 10:13 AM ET10:42 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:13 AM ET-7.58456
Projected value at 10:42 AM ET-17.0739
Actual value at 10:42 AM ET-20.5676
Projected change across the window-9.48932
Actual change across the window-12.9831
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.73×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.73 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 29 (10:41 AM ET), where they sat 0.249536 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (10:13 AM ET) with a gap of 29.4763. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 11 (10:24 AM ET), a move of +9.08603. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:14 AM-41.2975-14.5537+26.7438
610:19 AM-51.9397-51.6897+0.249948
1210:25 AM-43.3827-28.5993+14.7834
1810:31 AM-27.1528-19.65+7.50278
2410:37 AM-20.298-9.00368+11.2943
2910:42 AM-17.0739-20.5676-3.49377

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.