Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 1, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 1, 2026, 9:12 AM to 9:41 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 1, 2026 at 9:12 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 38.1184. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:41 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-5.12819.9845.08Oct 1, 9:12 AM ET9:41 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:12 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-5.12819.9845.08Oct 1, 9:12 AM ET9:41 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:12 AM ET38.1184
Projected value at 9:41 AM ET-8.39316
Actual value at 9:41 AM ET11.8397
Projected change across the window-46.5115
Actual change across the window-26.2787
Bars moving the same direction24 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading22 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.77×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.77 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 83% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 22 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 23 (9:34 AM ET), where they sat 0.175797 apart, and furthest at bar 7 (9:19 AM ET) with a gap of 37.783. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 21 (9:33 AM ET), a move of -6.23235. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:13 AM8.5439.7735+31.2335
69:18 AM9.1902146.7118+37.5216
129:24 AM4.6528527.8051+23.1523
189:30 AM-0.54394312.5618+13.1057
249:36 AM-5.72889-5.34118+0.387709
299:41 AM-8.3931611.8397+20.2329

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.