Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 1, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 1, 2026, 9:00 AM to 9:29 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 1, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 27.8051. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:29 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-48.92-12.9722.98Oct 1, 9:00 AM ET9:29 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:00 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-48.92-12.9722.98Oct 1, 9:00 AM ET9:29 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:00 AM ET27.8051
Projected value at 9:29 AM ET-15.0338
Actual value at 9:29 AM ET-33.9272
Projected change across the window-42.8389
Actual change across the window-61.7324
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.69×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.69 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 23 (9:22 AM ET), where they sat 0.0165182 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (9:00 AM ET) with a gap of 56.1267. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 23 (9:23 AM ET), a move of -13.4316. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:01 AM-29.044422.8404+51.8848
69:06 AM-34.73612.5618+47.2977
129:12 AM-32.1911-5.34118+26.8499
189:18 AM-26.95612.3574+39.3134
249:24 AM-21.012-48.3346-27.3226
299:29 AM-15.0338-33.9272-18.8934

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.