Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 1, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 1, 2026, 4:55 AM to 5:24 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 1, 2026 at 4:55 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 26.986. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 5:24 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-1.09912.0625.22Oct 1, 4:55 AM ET5:24 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:55 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-1.09912.0625.22Oct 1, 4:55 AM ET5:24 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:55 AM ET26.986
Projected value at 5:24 AM ET0.734491
Actual value at 5:24 AM ET-2.32132
Projected change across the window-26.2515
Actual change across the window-29.3074
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.90×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.90 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 22 (5:16 AM ET), where they sat 1.50943 apart, and furthest at bar 2 (4:57 AM ET) with a gap of 16.5418. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 18 (5:13 AM ET), a move of -4.22426. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:56 AM11.837726.2022+14.3645
65:01 AM7.5715319.1368+11.5652
125:07 AM2.542849.83456+7.29171
185:13 AM-0.01233727.57868+7.59101
245:19 AM3.381180.0875-3.29368
295:24 AM0.734491-2.32132-3.05581

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.