Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 1, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 1, 2026, 4:51 AM to 5:20 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 1, 2026 at 4:51 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 23.2066. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 5:20 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-1.32310.1721.66Oct 1, 4:51 AM ET5:20 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:51 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-1.32310.1721.66Oct 1, 4:51 AM ET5:20 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:51 AM ET23.2066
Projected value at 5:20 AM ET2.99695
Actual value at 5:20 AM ET-0.0602941
Projected change across the window-20.2097
Actual change across the window-23.2669
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.87×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.87 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 11 (5:01 AM ET), where they sat 0.140514 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (4:51 AM ET) with a gap of 23.7724. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 15 (5:06 AM ET), a move of -4.22426. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:52 AM3.4917221.8132+18.3215
64:57 AM11.384911.6346+0.249695
125:03 AM10.241713.8007+3.55899
185:09 AM3.90517-0.411029-4.3162
245:15 AM3.62002-2.05515-5.67517
295:20 AM2.99695-0.0602941-3.05724

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.