Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 1, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 1, 2026, 12:31 AM to 1:00 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 1, 2026 at 12:31 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -35.9699. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:00 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-33.7-16.790.1243Oct 1, 12:31 AM ET1:00 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:31 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-33.7-16.790.1243Oct 1, 12:31 AM ET1:00 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:31 AM ET-35.9699
Projected value at 1:00 AM ET0.903767
Actual value at 1:00 AM ET-5.39779
Projected change across the window+36.8736
Actual change across the window+30.5721
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.21×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.21 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (1:00 AM ET), where they sat 6.30156 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (12:31 AM ET) with a gap of 35.7636. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (12:32 AM ET), a move of +5.86985. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:32 AM-0.23272-30.1-29.8673
612:37 AM-0.381401-32.0853-31.7039
1212:43 AM1.1926-28.8235-30.0161
1812:49 AM2.35858-14.0831-16.4417
2412:55 AM1.0369-17.5919-18.6288
291:00 AM0.903767-5.39779-6.30156

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.