Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 1, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 1, 2026, 12:30 AM to 12:59 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 1, 2026 at 12:30 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -30.1. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:59 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-30.06-15.010.04456Oct 1, 12:30 AM ET12:59 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:30 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-30.06-15.010.04456Oct 1, 12:30 AM ET12:59 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:30 AM ET-30.1
Projected value at 12:59 AM ET0.317268
Actual value at 12:59 AM ET-1.08015
Projected change across the window+30.4173
Actual change across the window+29.0199
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.05×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.05 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (12:59 AM ET), where they sat 1.39742 apart, and furthest at bar 6 (12:36 AM ET) with a gap of 30.6112. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (12:31 AM ET), a move of +4.70147. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:31 AM-0.704498-25.3985-24.694
612:36 AM-1.37559-31.9868-30.6112
1212:42 AM0.293191-27.1346-27.4278
1812:48 AM2.02307-16.9537-18.9767
2412:54 AM0.413896-17.9103-18.3242
2912:59 AM0.317268-1.08015-1.39742

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.