Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 1, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 1, 2026, 12:20 AM to 12:49 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 1, 2026 at 12:20 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -28.8235. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:49 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-25.96-4.61516.73Oct 1, 12:20 AM ET12:49 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:20 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-25.96-4.61516.73Oct 1, 12:20 AM ET12:49 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:20 AM ET-28.8235
Projected value at 12:49 AM ET11.4346
Actual value at 12:49 AM ET19.5926
Projected change across the window+40.2581
Actual change across the window+48.4162
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.83×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.83 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 23 (12:42 AM ET), where they sat 0.427031 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (12:20 AM ET) with a gap of 30.6323. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 16 (12:36 AM ET), a move of +4.59412. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:21 AM1.18207-27.1346-28.3166
612:26 AM1.51982-14.0831-15.6029
1212:32 AM1.89441-17.5919-19.4863
1812:38 AM6.89242-1.08015-7.97257
2412:44 AM9.4596813.8794+4.41973
2912:49 AM11.434619.5926+8.15803

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.