Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 1, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 1, 2026, 12:18 AM to 12:47 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 1, 2026 at 12:18 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -27.1346. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:47 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-24.28-318.28Oct 1, 12:18 AM ET12:47 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:18 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-24.28-318.28Oct 1, 12:18 AM ET12:47 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:18 AM ET-27.1346
Projected value at 12:47 AM ET7.80851
Actual value at 12:47 AM ET21.1338
Projected change across the window+34.9431
Actual change across the window+48.2684
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.72×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.72 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 20 (12:37 AM ET), where they sat 0.357207 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (12:18 AM ET) with a gap of 38.0949. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 15 (12:33 AM ET), a move of +4.59412. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:19 AM5.17642-23.1375-28.3139
612:24 AM-0.506267-16.9537-16.4474
1212:30 AM-0.590749-17.9103-17.3195
1812:36 AM4.131682.05441-2.07727
2412:42 AM7.0368215.4368+8.39995
2912:47 AM7.8085121.1338+13.3253

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.