Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 30, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 30, 2026, 11:52 PM to 12:21 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 30, 2026 at 11:52 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 17.5118. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:21 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

10.8923.8336.77Sep 30, 11:52 PM ET12:21 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:52 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

10.8923.8336.77Sep 30, 11:52 PM ET12:21 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:52 PM ET17.5118
Projected value at 12:21 AM ET9.58185
Actual value at 12:21 AM ET10.8449
Projected change across the window-7.92992
Actual change across the window-6.66691
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.19×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.19 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 27 (12:18 AM ET), where they sat 0.0437577 apart, and furthest at bar 11 (12:03 AM ET) with a gap of 16.0588. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 14 (12:06 AM ET), a move of -4.20294. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:53 PM19.02118.4493-0.571751
611:58 PM23.199128.664+5.46487
1212:04 AM22.180737.8743+15.6936
1812:10 AM19.031418.45-0.581425
2412:16 AM13.72479.15662-4.56805
2912:21 AM9.5818510.8449+1.263

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.