Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 30, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 30, 2026, 11:47 PM to 12:16 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 30, 2026 at 11:47 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 26.0044. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:16 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

1.76818.9836.19Sep 30, 11:47 PM ET12:16 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:47 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

1.76818.9836.19Sep 30, 11:47 PM ET12:16 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:47 PM ET26.0044
Projected value at 12:16 AM ET0.323811
Actual value at 12:16 AM ET-0.543382
Projected change across the window-25.6806
Actual change across the window-26.5478
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading20 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.97×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.97 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 20 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 29 (12:15 AM ET), where they sat 0.112513 apart, and furthest at bar 6 (11:53 PM ET) with a gap of 31.43. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 9 (11:56 PM ET), a move of -4.20294. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:48 PM7.2043328.664+21.4596
611:53 PM7.0758438.5059+31.43
1211:59 PM5.2512619.8654+14.6142
1812:05 AM4.095089.36618+5.2711
2412:11 AM1.6893710.8449+9.15548
2912:16 AM0.323811-0.543382-0.867193

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.