Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 30, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 30, 2026, 10:45 PM to 11:14 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 30, 2026 at 10:45 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 23.9515. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:14 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

9.36717.9626.55Sep 30, 10:45 PM ET11:14 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:45 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

9.36717.9626.55Sep 30, 10:45 PM ET11:14 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:45 PM ET23.9515
Projected value at 11:14 PM ET11.4207
Actual value at 11:14 PM ET8.21397
Projected change across the window-12.5308
Actual change across the window-15.7375
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.80×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.80 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 27 (11:11 PM ET), where they sat 0.320568 apart, and furthest at bar 3 (10:48 PM ET) with a gap of 11.6902. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (10:46 PM ET), a move of +3.04191. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:46 PM15.872526.9934+11.1209
610:51 PM15.820922.2853+6.46441
1210:57 PM13.900218.5647+4.66454
1811:03 PM13.69715.5279+1.83095
2411:09 PM12.953314.9772+2.02392
2911:14 PM11.42078.21397-3.20672

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.