Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 30, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 30, 2026, 10:42 PM to 11:11 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 30, 2026 at 10:42 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 27.6368. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:11 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

2.72414.426.07Sep 30, 10:42 PM ET11:11 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:42 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

2.72414.426.07Sep 30, 10:42 PM ET11:11 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:42 PM ET27.6368
Projected value at 11:11 PM ET8.89293
Actual value at 11:11 PM ET1.15662
Projected change across the window-18.7438
Actual change across the window-26.4801
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.71×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.71 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 26 (11:07 PM ET), where they sat 0.148657 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (10:42 PM ET) with a gap of 12.5195. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 28 (11:10 PM ET), a move of -3.09338. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:43 PM15.631626.5441+10.9125
610:48 PM16.379620.6228+4.24316
1210:54 PM14.264716.5331+2.26836
1811:00 PM12.198615.4301+3.23157
2411:06 PM10.125710.9625+0.836768
2911:11 PM8.892931.15662-7.73631

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.