Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, September 30, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 30, 2026, 2:49 PM to 3:18 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On September 30, 2026 at 2:49 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 0.822059. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:18 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-34.33-7.27719.78Sep 30, 2:49 PM ET3:18 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 2:49 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-34.33-7.27719.78Sep 30, 2:49 PM ET3:18 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:49 PM ET0.822059
Projected value at 3:18 PM ET-11.8282
Actual value at 3:18 PM ET20.2309
Projected change across the window-12.6502
Actual change across the window+19.4088
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.65×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall, while it rose instead. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.65 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 18 (3:06 PM ET), where they sat 0.206028 apart, and furthest at bar 27 (3:16 PM ET) with a gap of 37.4104. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 24 (3:13 PM ET), a move of +7.51103. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:50 PM-11.1853-6.38309+4.80225
62:55 PM-22.6371-13.8559+8.78124
123:01 PM-22.6111-37.7588-15.1477
183:07 PM-17.3363-17.775-0.438699
243:13 PM-14.093211.5699+25.663
293:18 PM-11.828220.2309+32.0591

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1 minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.