Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 30, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 30, 2026, 12:31 PM to 1:00 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 30, 2026 at 12:31 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 63.7728. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:00 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-33.6112.0257.65Sep 30, 12:31 PM ET1:00 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:31 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-33.6112.0257.65Sep 30, 12:31 PM ET1:00 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:31 PM ET63.7728
Projected value at 1:00 PM ET-13.4457
Actual value at 1:00 PM ET-2.95441
Projected change across the window-77.2185
Actual change across the window-66.7272
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.16×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.16 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 23 (12:53 PM ET), where they sat 5.65629 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (12:31 PM ET) with a gap of 86.1449. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (12:32 PM ET), a move of -23.9522. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:32 PM-26.793139.8206+66.6137
612:37 PM-39.73493.31397+43.0489
1212:43 PM-34.8617-13.0353+21.8264
1812:49 PM-25.879-10.411+15.4679
2412:55 PM-18.1429-11.2728+6.87006
291:00 PM-13.4457-2.95441+10.4913

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.