Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 30, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 30, 2026, 12:30 PM to 12:59 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 30, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 39.8206. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:59 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-28.93.29935.5Sep 30, 12:30 PM ET12:59 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:30 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-28.93.29935.5Sep 30, 12:30 PM ET12:59 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:30 PM ET39.8206
Projected value at 12:59 PM ET-13.2602
Actual value at 12:59 PM ET-2.925
Projected change across the window-53.0808
Actual change across the window-42.7456
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.24×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.24 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 22 (12:51 PM ET), where they sat 4.59474 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (12:30 PM ET) with a gap of 57.6681. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (12:31 PM ET), a move of -10.7721. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:31 PM-21.606729.0485+50.6552
612:36 PM-33.1345-2.93971+30.1948
1212:42 PM-30.0644-9.63676+20.4277
1812:48 PM-23.6163-12.6147+11.0016
2412:54 PM-15.9669-10.6846+5.28233
2912:59 PM-13.2602-2.925+10.3352

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.