Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 30, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 30, 2026, 11:55 AM to 12:24 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 30, 2026 at 11:55 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -13.5243. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:24 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-13.0711.0935.25Sep 30, 11:55 AM ET12:24 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:55 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-13.0711.0935.25Sep 30, 11:55 AM ET12:24 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:55 AM ET-13.5243
Projected value at 12:24 PM ET8.4014
Actual value at 12:24 PM ET9.72721
Projected change across the window+21.9257
Actual change across the window+23.2515
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.94×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.94 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (12:24 PM ET), where they sat 1.3258 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (11:55 AM ET) with a gap of 33.4759. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 7 (12:02 PM ET), a move of +7.375. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:56 AM13.3754-14.9816-28.357
612:01 PM10.4868-4.56029-15.0471
1212:07 PM14.268224.8544+10.5862
1812:13 PM14.2338.4971+24.2671
2412:19 PM8.4231222.975+14.5519
2912:24 PM8.40149.72721+1.3258

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.