Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 30, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 30, 2026, 11:19 AM to 11:48 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 30, 2026 at 11:19 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -42.9419. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:48 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-40.08-18.812.469Sep 30, 11:19 AM ET11:48 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:19 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-40.08-18.812.469Sep 30, 11:19 AM ET11:48 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:19 AM ET-42.9419
Projected value at 11:48 AM ET-3.44627
Actual value at 11:48 AM ET-0.821324
Projected change across the window+39.4956
Actual change across the window+42.1206
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.94×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.94 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 19 (11:37 AM ET), where they sat 0.599575 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (11:19 AM ET) with a gap of 42.369. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 18 (11:37 AM ET), a move of +5.71618. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:20 AM-2.11073-41.4147-39.304
611:25 AM-8.97796-33.6074-24.6294
1211:31 AM-3.58211-19.5294-15.9473
1811:37 AM-2.39307-2.99265-0.599575
2411:43 AM-1.893442.67426+4.5677
2911:48 AM-3.44627-0.821324+2.62495

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.