Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 30, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 30, 2026, 3:43 AM to 4:12 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 30, 2026 at 3:43 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 28.1816. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:12 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-5.1311.3527.83Sep 30, 3:43 AM ET4:12 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:43 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-5.1311.3527.83Sep 30, 3:43 AM ET4:12 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:43 AM ET28.1816
Projected value at 4:12 AM ET7.18035
Actual value at 4:12 AM ET0.247794
Projected change across the window-21.0013
Actual change across the window-27.9338
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.75×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.75 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 10 (3:52 AM ET), where they sat 0.201815 apart, and furthest at bar 22 (4:05 AM ET) with a gap of 19.1075. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 10 (3:53 AM ET), a move of -4.05809. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:44 AM22.002829.6301+7.62737
63:49 AM16.821622.6919+5.87031
123:55 AM16.6795.43897-11.24
184:01 AM14.6888-0.823529-15.5124
244:07 AM10.5962-3.81471-14.4109
294:12 AM7.180350.247794-6.93255

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.