Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 30, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 30, 2026, 3:35 AM to 4:04 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 30, 2026 at 3:35 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 18.7544. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:04 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-5.7985.70617.21Sep 30, 3:35 AM ET4:04 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:35 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-5.7985.70617.21Sep 30, 3:35 AM ET4:04 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:35 AM ET18.7544
Projected value at 4:04 AM ET8.33292
Actual value at 4:04 AM ET5.89412
Projected change across the window-10.4215
Actual change across the window-12.8603
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.81×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.81 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 2 (3:36 AM ET), where they sat 0.919181 apart, and furthest at bar 14 (3:49 AM ET) with a gap of 18.5265. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 2 (3:37 AM ET), a move of -4.05809. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:36 AM17.408216.489-0.919181
63:41 AM16.95020.538235-16.412
123:47 AM11.8464-4.27353-16.1199
183:53 AM10.4291-1.44926-11.8784
243:59 AM9.858822.95368-6.90515
294:04 AM8.332925.89412-2.43881

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.