Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 30, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 30, 2026, 12:57 AM to 1:26 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 30, 2026 at 12:57 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -26.6206. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:26 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-32.25-20.06-7.876Sep 30, 12:57 AM ET1:26 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:57 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-32.25-20.06-7.876Sep 30, 12:57 AM ET1:26 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:57 AM ET-26.6206
Projected value at 1:26 AM ET-6.2395
Actual value at 1:26 AM ET-12.9904
Projected change across the window+20.3811
Actual change across the window+13.6301
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading21 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.50×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.50 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 21 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 25 (1:21 AM ET), where they sat 0.261447 apart, and furthest at bar 3 (1:00 AM ET) with a gap of 14.1595. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 20 (1:17 AM ET), a move of +5.19559. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:58 AM-17.3085-29.5581-12.2496
61:03 AM-20.3837-31.8875-11.5038
121:09 AM-18.1344-20.5324-2.39799
181:15 AM-13.3831-24.2154-10.8324
241:21 AM-9.58782-9.84926-0.261447
291:26 AM-6.2395-12.9904-6.75094

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.