Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 30, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 30, 2026, 12:23 AM to 12:52 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 30, 2026 at 12:23 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -11.2699. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:52 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-10.455.04920.55Sep 30, 12:23 AM ET12:52 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:23 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-10.455.04920.55Sep 30, 12:23 AM ET12:52 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:23 AM ET-11.2699
Projected value at 12:52 AM ET7.77645
Actual value at 12:52 AM ET11.4669
Projected change across the window+19.0463
Actual change across the window+22.7368
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.84×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.84 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 7 (12:29 AM ET), where they sat 0.56078 apart, and furthest at bar 1 (12:24 AM ET) with a gap of 21.9096. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 6 (12:29 AM ET), a move of +6.63897. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:24 AM9.37431-12.5353-21.9096
612:29 AM9.5406910.1015+0.56078
1212:35 AM8.9801117.6441+8.66401
1812:41 AM7.7663715.9449+8.17849
2412:47 AM7.8468713.4904+5.64357
2912:52 AM7.7764511.4669+3.69046

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.