Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, September 29, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 29, 2026, 10:59 PM to 11:28 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On September 29, 2026 at 10:59 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read -0.755882. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:28 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-20.36-8.8432.675Sep 29, 10:59 PM ET11:28 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:59 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-20.36-8.8432.675Sep 29, 10:59 PM ET11:28 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:59 PM ET-0.755882
Projected value at 11:28 PM ET-8.09967
Actual value at 11:28 PM ET-7.79559
Projected change across the window-7.34379
Actual change across the window-7.03971
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.04×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.04 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 10 (11:08 PM ET), where they sat 0.0667876 apart, and furthest at bar 26 (11:25 PM ET) with a gap of 9.95637. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 29 (11:28 PM ET), a move of +5.17574. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:00 PM-0.728294-1.76912-1.04082
611:05 PM-9.59445-5.99926+3.59518
1211:11 PM-11.2348-14.1596-2.92476
1811:17 PM-13.9083-16.464-2.55566
2411:23 PM-12.1407-21.9074-9.76666
2911:28 PM-8.09967-7.79559+0.304083

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1 minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.