Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 29, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 29, 2026, 9:37 PM to 10:06 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 29, 2026 at 9:37 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 19.5471. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:06 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

1.87810.1618.44Sep 29, 9:37 PM ET10:06 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:37 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

1.87810.1618.44Sep 29, 9:37 PM ET10:06 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:37 PM ET19.5471
Projected value at 10:06 PM ET0.766531
Actual value at 10:06 PM ET5.97353
Projected change across the window-18.7805
Actual change across the window-13.5735
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.38×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.38 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 15 (9:51 PM ET), where they sat 1.30895 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (9:37 PM ET) with a gap of 16.1482. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 11 (9:48 PM ET), a move of -3.34706. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:38 PM5.4086119.2074+13.7987
69:43 PM6.0117618.4228+12.411
129:49 PM4.98818.58456+3.59646
189:55 PM3.218956.37353+3.15458
2410:01 PM2.269035.40074+3.1317
2910:06 PM0.7665315.97353+5.207

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.