Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 29, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 29, 2026, 1:56 PM to 2:25 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 29, 2026 at 1:56 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 3.01397. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:25 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-68.93-21.625.73Sep 29, 1:56 PM ET2:25 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:56 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-68.93-21.625.73Sep 29, 1:56 PM ET2:25 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:56 PM ET3.01397
Projected value at 2:25 PM ET-13.2764
Actual value at 2:25 PM ET25.1831
Projected change across the window-16.2904
Actual change across the window+22.1691
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.73×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall, while it rose instead. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.73 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 4 (1:59 PM ET), where they sat 3.38568 apart, and furthest at bar 26 (2:22 PM ET) with a gap of 47.9719. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 22 (2:18 PM ET), a move of +17.3647. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:57 PM-29.9938-6.78897+23.2048
62:02 PM-34.2956-48.7331-14.4375
122:08 PM-29.7945-73.0515-43.2569
182:14 PM-24.1318-49.3279-25.1961
242:20 PM-18.527125.3213+43.8484
292:25 PM-13.276425.1831+38.4595

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.