Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 29, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 29, 2026, 11:49 AM to 12:18 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 29, 2026 at 11:49 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 3.01544. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:18 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-0.76696.06612.9Sep 29, 11:49 AM ET12:18 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:49 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-0.76696.06612.9Sep 29, 11:49 AM ET12:18 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:49 AM ET3.01544
Projected value at 12:18 PM ET1.21377
Actual value at 12:18 PM ET4.16838
Projected change across the window-1.80167
Actual change across the window+1.15294
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading22 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.56×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall, while it rose instead. The projection overshot: it called for 1.56 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 22 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 7 (11:55 AM ET), where they sat 0.311339 apart, and furthest at bar 23 (12:12 PM ET) with a gap of 6.46001. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 14 (12:03 PM ET), a move of -2.99044. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:50 AM2.399181.90368-0.495506
611:55 AM10.17099.85956-0.311339
1212:01 PM4.6239.24118+4.61818
1812:07 PM-0.0776563-1.07206-0.994403
2412:13 PM2.156968.30735+6.15039
2912:18 PM1.213774.16838+2.95461

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.