Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 29, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 29, 2026, 10:57 AM to 11:26 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 29, 2026 at 10:57 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 17.5331. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:26 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

0.66928.57416.48Sep 29, 10:57 AM ET11:26 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:57 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

0.66928.57416.48Sep 29, 10:57 AM ET11:26 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:57 AM ET17.5331
Projected value at 11:26 AM ET-0.034746
Actual value at 11:26 AM ET4.36985
Projected change across the window-17.5678
Actual change across the window-13.1632
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.33×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.33 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 2 (10:58 AM ET), where they sat 0.130013 apart, and furthest at bar 20 (11:17 AM ET) with a gap of 8.07433. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 23 (11:20 AM ET), a move of +3.63529. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:58 AM16.047916.1779+0.130013
611:03 AM15.41479.94265-5.47207
1211:09 AM12.211310.1632-2.04803
1811:15 AM9.245875.38456-3.86131
2411:21 AM4.650858.59853+3.94768
2911:26 AM-0.0347464.36985+4.4046

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.