Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 29, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 29, 2026, 10:36 AM to 11:05 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 29, 2026 at 10:36 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 0.0522059. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:05 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

2.32619.2636.19Sep 29, 10:36 AM ET11:05 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:36 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

2.32619.2636.19Sep 29, 10:36 AM ET11:05 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:36 AM ET0.0522059
Projected value at 11:05 AM ET13.821
Actual value at 11:05 AM ET19.2316
Projected change across the window+13.7687
Actual change across the window+19.1794
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.72×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.72 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 21 (10:56 AM ET), where they sat 0.97936 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (10:36 AM ET) with a gap of 38.4145. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 20 (10:56 AM ET), a move of +4.74632. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:37 AM37.47792.27206-35.2059
610:42 AM36.13858-28.1385
1210:48 AM26.47291.94485-24.528
1810:54 AM19.21510.5265-8.68851
2411:00 AM17.806426.489+8.68252
2911:05 AM13.82119.2316+5.41066

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.