Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 29, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 29, 2026, 10:24 AM to 10:53 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 29, 2026 at 10:24 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 1.94485. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:53 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

3.80219.3334.86Sep 29, 10:24 AM ET10:53 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:24 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

3.80219.3334.86Sep 29, 10:24 AM ET10:53 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:24 AM ET1.94485
Projected value at 10:53 AM ET15.0242
Actual value at 10:53 AM ET13.8971
Projected change across the window+13.0794
Actual change across the window+11.9522
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.09×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.09 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (10:53 AM ET), where they sat 1.12716 apart, and furthest at bar 4 (10:28 AM ET) with a gap of 32.8362. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 8 (10:32 AM ET), a move of +4.74632. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:25 AM26.98061.71618-25.2644
610:30 AM36.662710.5265-26.1362
1210:36 AM32.996726.489-6.50769
1810:42 AM26.914317.3757-9.53858
2410:48 AM20.66576.27279-14.3929
2910:53 AM15.024213.8971-1.12716

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.