Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 29, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 29, 2026, 9:41 AM to 10:10 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 29, 2026 at 9:41 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -7.48971. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:10 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-72.08-41.82-11.55Sep 29, 9:41 AM ET10:10 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:41 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-72.08-41.82-11.55Sep 29, 9:41 AM ET10:10 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:41 AM ET-7.48971
Projected value at 10:10 AM ET-16.7427
Actual value at 10:10 AM ET-16.8037
Projected change across the window-9.253
Actual change across the window-9.31397
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.99×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.99 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (10:10 AM ET), where they sat 0.0609658 apart, and furthest at bar 4 (9:45 AM ET) with a gap of 59.5674. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 21 (10:02 AM ET), a move of -3.14265. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:42 AM-62.5683-9.91471+52.6536
69:47 AM-73.4436-21.436+52.0075
129:53 AM-60.2346-23.1206+37.114
189:59 AM-44.9931-15.2757+29.7174
2410:05 AM-23.4435-21.6449+1.79861
2910:10 AM-16.7427-16.8037-0.0609658

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.