Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 29, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 29, 2026, 8:25 AM to 8:54 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 29, 2026 at 8:25 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 27.8919. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:54 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-12.316.52725.36Sep 29, 8:25 AM ET8:54 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 8:25 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-12.316.52725.36Sep 29, 8:25 AM ET8:54 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 8:25 AM ET27.8919
Projected value at 8:54 AM ET-4.30715
Actual value at 8:54 AM ET-4.32574
Projected change across the window-32.1991
Actual change across the window-32.2176
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.00×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.00 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (8:54 AM ET), where they sat 0.0185861 apart, and furthest at bar 2 (8:27 AM ET) with a gap of 39.1444. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 5 (8:30 AM ET), a move of -5.17941. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
18:26 AM-9.6440927.7118+37.3559
68:31 AM-14.235511.0397+25.2752
128:37 AM-12.0491-9.52721+2.5219
188:43 AM-9.69226-6.10809+3.58418
248:49 AM-7.15905-7.46176-0.302712
298:54 AM-4.30715-4.32574-0.0185861

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.