Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 29, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 29, 2026, 8:23 AM to 8:52 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 29, 2026 at 8:23 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 27.7118. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:52 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-11.536.85725.24Sep 29, 8:23 AM ET8:52 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 8:23 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-11.536.85725.24Sep 29, 8:23 AM ET8:52 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 8:23 AM ET27.7118
Projected value at 8:52 AM ET5.19004
Actual value at 8:52 AM ET-2.77353
Projected change across the window-22.5217
Actual change across the window-30.4853
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.74×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.74 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 9 (8:31 AM ET), where they sat 1.05721 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (8:23 AM ET) with a gap of 29.2569. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 4 (8:27 AM ET), a move of -5.17941. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
18:24 AM-1.2136127.3735+28.5871
68:29 AM0.5953796.91765+6.32227
128:35 AM0.29412-12.3176-12.6118
188:41 AM1.19265-1.28676-2.47942
248:47 AM1.95747-8.82574-10.7832
298:52 AM5.19004-2.77353-7.96357

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.