Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 29, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 29, 2026, 7:42 AM to 8:11 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 29, 2026 at 7:42 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 24.3735. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:11 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

6.17719.7533.32Sep 29, 7:42 AM ET8:11 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 7:42 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

6.17719.7533.32Sep 29, 7:42 AM ET8:11 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:42 AM ET24.3735
Projected value at 8:11 AM ET8.18005
Actual value at 8:11 AM ET5.69412
Projected change across the window-16.1935
Actual change across the window-18.6794
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading21 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.87×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.87 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 21 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 22 (8:03 AM ET), where they sat 0.289626 apart, and furthest at bar 4 (7:46 AM ET) with a gap of 26.6745. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (7:43 AM ET), a move of +4.10441. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:43 AM11.358228.4779+17.1198
67:48 AM9.2774932.7118+23.4343
127:54 AM9.1616822.9449+13.7832
188:00 AM8.5219115.4066+6.88471
248:06 AM7.606524.53456-3.07196
298:11 AM8.180055.69412-2.48593

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.