Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 29, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 29, 2026, 7:37 AM to 8:06 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 29, 2026 at 7:37 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 33.6441. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:06 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

1.98316.8231.65Sep 29, 7:37 AM ET8:06 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 7:37 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

1.98316.8231.65Sep 29, 7:37 AM ET8:06 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:37 AM ET33.6441
Projected value at 8:06 AM ET-0.00958321
Actual value at 8:06 AM ET6.58309
Projected change across the window-33.6537
Actual change across the window-27.061
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.24×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.24 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 19 (7:55 AM ET), where they sat 0.728936 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (7:37 AM ET) with a gap of 24.6735. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 12 (7:49 AM ET), a move of -3.49632. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:38 AM9.958832.7118+22.753
67:43 AM11.080322.3375+11.2572
127:49 AM6.6485717.9015+11.2529
187:55 AM3.625484.35441+0.728936
248:01 AM3.113275.69412+2.58085
298:06 AM-0.009583216.58309+6.59267

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.