Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 29, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 29, 2026, 7:34 AM to 8:03 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 29, 2026 at 7:34 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 29.0515. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:03 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

0.428313.8427.25Sep 29, 7:34 AM ET8:03 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 7:34 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

0.428313.8427.25Sep 29, 7:34 AM ET8:03 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:34 AM ET29.0515
Projected value at 8:03 AM ET1.68988
Actual value at 8:03 AM ET-1.37279
Projected change across the window-27.3616
Actual change across the window-30.4243
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.90×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.90 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 14 (7:47 AM ET), where they sat 0.238068 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (7:34 AM ET) with a gap of 27.3463. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 29 (8:03 AM ET), a move of -4.62059. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:35 AM4.3251426.8294+22.5043
67:40 AM10.828124.0544+13.2263
127:46 AM7.611499.31985+1.70836
187:52 AM4.587494.93676+0.349271
247:58 AM3.156975.96324+2.80626
298:03 AM1.68988-1.37279-3.06267

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.