Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 29, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 29, 2026, 7:27 AM to 7:56 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 29, 2026 at 7:27 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 23.8463. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:56 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-5.5448.22622Sep 29, 7:27 AM ET7:56 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 7:27 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-5.5448.22622Sep 29, 7:27 AM ET7:56 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:27 AM ET23.8463
Projected value at 7:56 AM ET6.68448
Actual value at 7:56 AM ET3.4
Projected change across the window-17.1618
Actual change across the window-20.4463
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.84×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.84 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 7 (7:33 AM ET), where they sat 0.259421 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (7:27 AM ET) with a gap of 16.7053. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 22 (7:49 AM ET), a move of -4.62059. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:28 AM7.3602821.3978+14.0375
67:33 AM7.75287.49338-0.259421
127:39 AM10.4625.77353-4.68851
187:45 AM9.342176.39926-2.94291
247:51 AM6.64434-6.66029-13.3046
297:56 AM6.684483.4-3.28448

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.