Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 29, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 29, 2026, 6:30 AM to 6:59 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 29, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 42.3757. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:59 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

10.8632.9455.02Sep 29, 6:30 AM ET6:59 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:30 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

10.8632.9455.02Sep 29, 6:30 AM ET6:59 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:30 AM ET42.3757
Projected value at 6:59 AM ET14.4538
Actual value at 6:59 AM ET20.714
Projected change across the window-27.9219
Actual change across the window-21.6618
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading22 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.29×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.29 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 22 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (6:59 AM ET), where they sat 6.26016 apart, and furthest at bar 17 (6:47 AM ET) with a gap of 39.4037. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 13 (6:43 AM ET), a move of +6.47279. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:31 AM10.183638.8235+28.6399
66:36 AM17.519737.0596+19.5398
126:42 AM17.270832.9581+15.6872
186:48 AM18.571255.8507+37.2796
246:54 AM17.046935.4066+18.3597
296:59 AM14.453820.714+6.26016

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.