Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 29, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 29, 2026, 5:53 AM to 6:22 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 29, 2026 at 5:53 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 12.6787. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:22 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-38.07-14.299.485Sep 29, 5:53 AM ET6:22 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 5:53 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-38.07-14.299.485Sep 29, 5:53 AM ET6:22 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 5:53 AM ET12.6787
Projected value at 6:22 AM ET-1.86192
Actual value at 6:22 AM ET1.26765
Projected change across the window-14.5406
Actual change across the window-11.411
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.27×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.27 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 3 (5:55 AM ET), where they sat 0.235866 apart, and furthest at bar 16 (6:09 AM ET) with a gap of 40.3677. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 3 (5:56 AM ET), a move of -6.44044. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
15:54 AM8.9277111.3316+2.4039
65:59 AM4.73782-10.5596-15.2974
126:05 AM1.31288-23.0676-24.3805
186:11 AM-1.59443-36.5566-34.9622
246:17 AM-1.79418-11.2243-9.43009
296:22 AM-1.861921.26765+3.12957

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.